COURSE ANNOUNCEMENT MATH 527 Section # 55969 SPRING 1996 STOCHASTIC MODELING Instructor: Lou Gross, Professor of Mathematics and Ecology Time: 1:25 - 2:15 Monday, Wednesday and Friday Place: Ayres Hall 309B This course will provide an overview of the main areas of probability theory which have been useful in applications, with particular emphasis on the underlying mathematics associated with these applications. Goals are to develop expertise in the utilization of probabalistic techniques to analyze problems, to develop probabalistic intuition, and to develop a familiarity with the basic types of stochastic processes which have been most frequently applied. Topics will include: Markov chains, their limit theory, and applications; birth and death processes; renewal theory and applications to queuing problems; martingales and optimal stopping problems; Brownian motion and basic diffusion processes; branching processes; stationary processes and applications to time series analysis; and stochastic simulation techniques. Applications to a number of fields will be discussed, including population biology, genetics, operations research, signal processing and filtering, and waiting lines. The course is oriented towards students with a strong undergraduate background in mathematics, including two years of basic calculus, some advanced calculus or analysis (i.e. similar to Math 341, 446) and some prior exposure to basic probability or statistics. Students unsure about the adequacy of their background for this course are urged to contact the instructor to discuss the matter (phone 974-4295 or 974-2461 or e-mail to gross@math.utk.edu). The text for the course is: A First Course in Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed. by Samuel Karlin and Howard M. Taylor, with supplementary material provided by the instructor.