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2020 NIMBioS SRE Program

Influence of climate change velocity on future species distributions

Charlotte Beckford, Mathematics, Fordham Univ.
Dakila Ledesma, Computer & Information Sciences, Univ. of Tennessee, Chattanooga
Elliott Smith, Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Univ. of Michigan
Amy Tian, Biology, Public Policy, Univ. of Chicago

Dr. Mona PapeĊŸ, Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Univ. of Tennessee
Dr. Luis Carrasco Tornero, NIMBioS and Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Univ. of Tennessee
Dr. Greg Wiggins, NIMBioS Education and Outreach Coordinator Map image.

Project Description. As the global climate warms, models predicting subsequent shifts in suitable climatic conditions for species can be valuable in highlighting where species may survive in the future. However, can species shift their distributions fast enough to move with shifting suitable climates? The goal of this project is to identify areas where climate change is reshaping the potential redistribution of species by using GIS and spatial modeling techniques. Using climate change velocity datasets for North America, we will examine the potential of species to move to newly-suitable climates with two case studies: selected specialized pollinators and an insect-mediated plant disease.

C. Beckford photo.
Charlotte Beckford
D. Ledesma photo.
Dakila Ledesma
E. Smith photo.
Elliott Smith
A. Tian photo.
Amy Tian

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From 2008 until early 2021, NIMBioS was supported by the National Science Foundation through NSF Award #DBI-1300426, with additional support from The University of Tennessee, Knoxville. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.
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